Free tool
Is that price worth betting?
Put in the two players and the decimal odds you have been offered. You get the range my line sits in and whether the price in front of you is better or worse than that. The exact number stays where it is.
One step first
The tool is free and open to anyone on the email list. Drop your address in and it unlocks on this device, and you get a confirmation email from beehiiv, who send the list. One click to leave it, whenever you want.
Surnames are enough. Twenty-five checks a day. This is one input into a bet, not a bet in itself — what the group gets is the reasoning as well as the number.
What this number does not know
It is built from ratings and nothing else. Everything that is not a rating is invisible to it:
- Injuries, knocks, illness, and anyone playing through something.
- Indoor or outdoor, altitude, balls, heat, wind, a slow night court — conditions move a match more than most ratings gaps do.
- Schedule and fatigue: a three-hour match yesterday, a long flight, back-to-back weeks.
- Form and head-to-head over the last few weeks, and anything going on off the court.
- Retirements and walkovers, and how your bookmaker settles them.
So do not bet off this number blind. Use it the way I use it: as a check on the price in front of you. If the market is well inside the range, the book has seen something the ratings have not — go and find out what it is before you decide the price is wrong.